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August 2026

Education Is a $7.7 Trillion Industry Still Planning for a Labour Market That No Longer Exists

4 min read
Skills & Future of WorkPolicy & Governance

The World Bank's newest blog post on AI adoption in education names a mechanism behind a lot of the resulting scramble: fear of irrelevance. But the bigger risk is planning for a world that's already gone.

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01

October 2026

The last lecture: will schools and universities still matter in 2045?

Policy & GovernanceEducational LeadershipSkills & Future of Work

In the worst-case 2045 there are two tiers: wealthy families buy human attention, small classes and a place in a handful of trusted institutions, while everyone else gets a machine. Part 1 of 3 on whether schools and universities will still matter.

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02

October 2026

AI in 2035: Four Futures for Life and Learning

Policy & GovernanceSkills & Future of WorkEducational Leadership

How fast AI moves, who it serves, and what it means for the class of 2035 – and which of these futures would hurt your school most. Part of the Educational Futures series.

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03

October 2026

AI Will Not Decide the Future of Education – We Will

Policy & GovernanceEducational LeadershipSkills & Future of Work

In 2034, my ten-year-old son will finish high school. By then artificial intelligence will look very different from the tools schools are debating today – and what it does to education will be decided by the choices we make now. Part 1 of the Educational Futures series.

4 min readRead article

About the Author

Paul Penfold

Paul Penfold

Paul Penfold is an education and technology consultant based in Chiang Mai, Thailand, with six decades of experience spanning classroom teaching, academic research, government policy, and humanitarian service. He advises schools, ministries, and EdTech companies on AI in education, alternative education, and learning technology, and has published 37 papers on immersive and virtual-world learning. His career includes refugee education on the Thai-Cambodian border, pioneering virtual-world hospitality education at Hong Kong Polytechnic University, and national tourism HR strategies across Asia and the Caribbean.

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