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October 2026

Schools Are Buying AI on Hope. Here's the Evidence They're Skipping

4 min read
Policy & GovernanceEducational LeadershipAI in Schools

This week NPR went looking for the proof behind classroom AI purchases and mostly found invoices. Stanford's review of more than 800 studies turns up only about 20 solid enough to say anything about learning, and the pattern in them is uncomfortable: students do better with AI switched on and worse once it's off.

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October 2026

The last lecture: will schools and universities still matter in 2045?

Policy & GovernanceEducational LeadershipSkills & Future of Work

In the worst-case 2045 there are two tiers: wealthy families buy human attention, small classes and a place in a handful of trusted institutions, while everyone else gets a machine. Part 1 of 3 on whether schools and universities will still matter.

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About the Author

Paul Penfold

Paul Penfold

Paul Penfold is an education and technology consultant based in Chiang Mai, Thailand, with six decades of experience spanning classroom teaching, academic research, government policy, and humanitarian service. He advises schools, ministries, and EdTech companies on AI in education, alternative education, and learning technology, and has published 37 papers on immersive and virtual-world learning. His career includes refugee education on the Thai-Cambodian border, pioneering virtual-world hospitality education at Hong Kong Polytechnic University, and national tourism HR strategies across Asia and the Caribbean.

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